Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Tuesday expressed his «sincere regrets for the inconvenience» and
said an inquiry would determine the cause. «Already a lot of industries have closed down, and if those industries don’t restart soon, some of the losses will be permanent,» said Sakib Sherani, founder of Macro Economic Insights, a consultancy in Islamabad. Analysts warn that the economic situation is becoming untenable, and Pakistan is at risk of following Sri Lanka, where a lack of foreign reserves triggered severe shortages of essential goods and led to a default in May. Islamabad’s foreign reserves have dropped below $5bn, less than enough for a whole month of imports, and Sharif’s government remains in a deadlock with the IMF over resurrecting a $7bn assistance package that stalled last year.
Ahsan Iqbal, planning minister, told the Financial Times that Pakistan had reduced imports «drastically» in an attempt to conserve foreign currency. Pakistan is still reeling from devastating floods last year, which affected tens of millions of people and caused damage estimated at $30bn. Sharif’s government has said it is committed to reviving the IMF deal to unlock the next tranche of funds. But the sides remain at odds over the IMF’s demand that Pakistan accepts economic reforms, such as raising subsidised energy prices.
Islamabad argues that pushing through painful austerity measures, while it is recovering from the floods, is impractical.
The IMF has a point and Pakistan also has a point. The problem is it takes way too much time for them to come to an agreement and it's possible that by the time they do, it will be too late for the country.
ReplyDeletePakistan is going to be worse than Sri Lanka because they have more people. It will be horrible and it will happen this year. I don't see any way of them coming back from this. Things are just way too bad now.
Delete