US payrolls increased by 517,000 for January, almost double December’s total and nearly triple the
consensus forecast of 185,000. Moreover, the unemployment rate, at 3.4 per cent, is now the lowest for 53 years. The figures, which ended five months in which job growth declined, led to a bond sell-off as investors reassessed whether the Fed would keep interest rates high for longer to bring inflation down. «Today’s data point to a labour market that is strengthening, not a labour market that is weakening,» said Eric Winograd, chief US economist at AllianceBernstein.
The central bank still hopes it will be able to bring inflation down to its 2 per cent target without causing a severe disruption to the jobs market in the world’s biggest economy. The extent to which January hirings outpaced the forecast led investors to sell the two-year Treasury, which tends to track rate expectations. The yield rose 0.14 percentage points to 4.23 per cent, its highest since mid-January. The Bureau of Labor Statistics data also showed that average hourly earnings rose at an annual rate of 4.4 per cent.
The BLS said that January’s jobs gains were «widespread» with the leisure and hospitality sector registering the most significant rise, at 128,000 positions. In December, the labour force participation rate, which tracks those employed or searching for a job, remained below its pre-pandemic level, at 62.4 per cent.
Wasn't expecting so many people to get jobs so quickly in the year. I'm glad this happened, but I wasn't expecting more than a third of these numbers for January.
ReplyDeleteDon't know if this trend will keep up in the next 2-3 months but it's good to know so many people have a job now.
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