Interest rates on five-year fixed mortgages are set to drop below 4 per cent after the Bank of England
suggested inflation might come under control sooner than expected, brokers say. On Thursday, the bank raised its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point to 4 per cent in response to high inflation. Lenders, which set prices for their fixed mortgage deals using financial market expectations about future base rate movements, had already priced in the latest tightening of monetary policy. But after the BoE’s meeting, market expectations of future rate increases dropped further.
The change in expectations in the overnight index swap market, which follows BoE decisions, suggests the average central bank rate over the coming two years will be 3.75 per cent, down from 4.34 per cent at the start of January. Likewise, the average BoE rate over the coming five years is now 3.21 per cent, down from 3.93 per cent in January. Ray Boulger, manager at broker John Charcol, said he expected lenders to move quickly to improve their five-year fixed deals, where the lowest rates are around 4.2 per cent. «There’s a clear ability in the market now to offer a five-year fixed rate at sub-4 per cent».
After the turmoil that followed then prime minister Liz Truss’s «mini» Budget in September, rates on many fixed deals rose above 6 per cent. However, the average rate on two-year fixed contracts has fallen to 5.43 per cent, from 5.77 per cent at the start of 2023, according to the finance website Moneyfacts.
Oh, that mini Budget. The UK has had some really incompetent and/or unprepared people leading them lately, haven't they? And things are not going to go better anytime soon.
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