ExxonMobil is planning a renewed push into energy trading to take on rivals such as Shell and BP that have long leaned on buying and selling commodities to buoy profits. The US oil supermajor is establishing a new business line called Global Trading that will pull together the company’s «expertise from across the company in global crude, products and feedstocks, natural gas, power, and freight trading», Exxon, long considered the most conservative of the oil supermajors, has historically focused more on its oil, gas and fuel production than higher-risk energy and derivatives trading. Exxon produces about 3.8mn barrels of oil and gas equivalent around the world and sells about 5.4mn b/d of fuel
products, along with a large chemicals production business, giving it an extensive presence across global energy markets.The new division is aimed at ‘driving commercial intensity’ and ‘delivering industry-leading results’
The energy transition was always going to be a dirty business. BP this week rowed back from its 2020 climate commitments, including the headline pledge to cut production 40 per cent by 2040. BP couched its move in terms of a changed world following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It will invest in and produce more fossil fuels in the near term and sell fewer of its assets so that production falls only about a quarter by 2030 compared with 2019.
Emissions from its oil and gas business will drop 20 to 30 per cent rather than 35 to 40 per cent. True, BP raised its investment plans by $1bn in fossil fuels and transition businesses. «If you accept the world is changing quicker than you thought but put half your money into old technology that’s not turning the ship,» said Kingsmill Bond, energy strategist at clean energy non-profit RMI. BP’s shares have not hugely underperformed its climate-conscious European peers, but they have all been outstripped by the oilier American companies.
Amid talk about transatlantic bids and investor scepticism about returns in low-carbon businesses, this is an attempt to change the mood. BP is cutting its operational emissions, scope 1 and 2 in the jargon, faster than expected. In low carbon, less money is going to long-dated, lower-return businesses such as renewables and more to areas like electric vehicle charging and convenience stores. In oil, the mantra is basically more quick barrels to capitalise on higher than expected oil prices.
Compare that to ExxonMobil, which will put maybe 8 per cent of investment into «lower emissions» this year. BP, with roughly half Exxon’s operating cash flow last year, plans a $60bn investment in low-carbon businesses to 2030. If BP can be rewarded by investors for that, as Europe’s energy dinosaurs thrash around looking for a postasteroid future, it probably counts as progress.
If BP goes all in on their decision to back from their climate commitments that would be a mistake. While they do need to make some changes to those initial plans, going too far will lead to many problems for them. They need to still invest heavily in new technology while also using old one as much as possible.
ReplyDeleteYes, they must not use the war in Ukraine or other factors as excuses to back down. They need to modify their plans but not turn back. Their business will eventually suffer if they aren't trustworthy and don't do what they say they will.
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