According to the International Monetary Fund, the UK is on course to be the world’s worst-
performing big economy this year. It expects the economy to contract by 0.6 per cent in 2023, making Britain the slowest-growing big economy in the world. The Russian economy is expected to grow by 0.3 per cent this year after a 2.2 per cent contraction in 2022. The IMF has upgraded its global growth forecasts in response to plummeting global energy prices and hopes that inflation will fall faster than expected.
According to the forecasts, Britain is notable for being the only big economy expected to contract. In contrast, next year’s growth is expected to rise to 0.9 per cent, 0.3 percentage points from the IMF’s last forecast in October. The UK is the only economy in the G7 not to have reached its pre-pandemic size and has suffered the worst inflation rate of its peers in the past year. The economy is forecast to enter into recession within months, with the downturn expected to last until the end of the year. Overall, the IMF raised its global growth forecast by 0.2 percentage points to 2.9 per cent this year after an expansion of 3.4 per cent last year.
The upgrade is primarily the result of China’s emergence from its Covid-19 lockdown and a fall in the record energy costs that plagued the world economy last year. «On the upside, a stronger boost from pent-up demand in numerous economies or a faster fall in inflation is plausible. » Global growth is expected to accelerate to 3.1 per cent next year, a slight downgrade from the IMF’s autumn projections.
The UK's economy is going to contract even further than that 0.6 percent. I'm considering 0.8 percent as being a more realistic number.
ReplyDeleteThey've been doing so badly ever since Brexit. One of the worst decisions of any country in the past 100 years maybe.
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