South Africa has downgraded its economic projections following the worst spell of rolling blackouts in the history of the continent’s most industrialised nation.
The South African Reserve Bank raised its benchmark rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 7.25 per cent, a smaller increase than in previous policy decisions and below the half-point level that most economists expected, warning that the country’s economy would barely grow this year.
In November it had forecast a 1.1 per cent expansion.
‘The shift in focus towards growth comes at a time that inflation pressures are starting to dissipate.’
Eskom, the power pool, is to impose 250 days of rolling blackouts this year, up from a previous forecast of 100 days.
The power cuts will remove «as much as two percentage points from growth in 2023, compared to the previous estimate of 0.6 percentage points», it said.
The central bank also slashed growth forecasts for 2024 from 1.4 per cent to 0.7 per cent, when it expects about 150 days of power cuts.
Eskom generates nearly all of South Africa’s electricity supply.
Breakdowns at ageing coal power stations, corruption and a lack of funds for maintenance have all added to pressure on President Cyril Ramaphosa’s government.
The shift to a slower pace of tightening comes as the central bank continues to battle above-target inflation.
South African inflation remains above the midpoint of a target range of 3 to 6 per cent, but the pace of price rises has faded in recent months. The bank said that inflation, which ended 2022 at 7.2 per cent, should fall to 5.4 per cent this year.
250 days of rolling blackouts!? What is going on in South Africa?
ReplyDeleteCorruption. That's what's going on in SA. This country could be doing so much better if it had a few dozen good men and not the corrupt politicians it does now.
DeleteAnd regular people have to suffer because of this widespread corruption. And it's only going to get worse.
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