Japan’s core inflation rate rose to a new 41-year high of 4 per cent in December, adding to mounting
Bank of Japan’s 2 per cent inflation target for the ninth consecutive month.
While price rises in Japan remain low compared with those in the US and Europe, inflation in Asia’s most advanced economy has gained pace due to a weaker yen and heavy exposure to the increasing cost of imported commodities.
Japan’s central bank defied market pressure and maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, arguing that wage growth was not strong enough to achieve its inflation target sustainably.
Uniqlo owner Fast Retailing and other large companies have in recent weeks announced plans to raise wages sharply, fuelling hopes that rising prices could finally drive salaries higher in a country that has wrestled with three decades of price stagnation.
But economists remain divided on whether the wage increases are a one-off, and wider inflationary pressures are expected to subside after government curbs on gas and electricity prices take effect.
«It’s highly possible that this December year-on-year rise in core inflation was the peak,» said Takahide Kiuchi, executive economist at Nomura Research Institute.
Higher inflation and recent turmoil in the Japanese government bond market had raised market expectations that the
BoJ would pivot from its monetary easing programme by further loosening its yield target or abandoning the policy altogether.
The central bank deployed the equivalent of about 6 per cent of Japan’s gross domestic product over the past month on buying bonds to try to hold yields within its target range.
It will be interesting to follow what happens in Japan with wages and prices. Will both rise soon? Will none?
ReplyDeleteI think that Japan's core inflation will start to go down from next month. I don't see it rising anymore after all that is happening in the market.
Delete