Canada's central bank has raised interest rates to their highest level since 2007 but signalled a likely
pause in its tightening cycle after it said it saw signs that the economy had cooled down. The Bank of Canada lifted its overnight rate 0.25 percentage points to 4.5 per cent yesterday, marking the eighth consecutive meeting at which it has raised benchmark borrowing costs. In January last year, interest rates were 0.25 per cent, where they had been since the start of the pandemic in March 2020. The BoC was the first central bank in a G10 economy to hint that it was ready to pause its tightening cycle, noting in December that there had been a slowdown in domestic demand.
Members of the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have so far indicated that they will "stay the course" and continue to raise rates to tamp inflation. ""Economic growth has been stronger than expected and the economy remains in excess demand . A majority of economists polled by Refinitiv expected the BoC to enact a quarter-point raise. Fifty-five per cent of the economists polled expected the bank to pause its monetary tightening for the remainder of 2023, while the remainder expected it to lower the overnight rate later in the year.
In December, Canada's headline inflation rate fell to 6.3 per cent, down from a 6.8 per cent annual pace in November. The price of petrol and durable goods have declined while grocery costs continue to increase. "Inflation is projected to come down significantly this year," the BoC said. The central bank will keep a close eye on Canada's labour market, which has held up as borrowing costs have risen.
The economy added 104,000 jobs in December, smashing expectations for a modest 5,000 additions.
The huge addition of jobs (compared to expectations) made this possible and that's one of the main reasons the economy is doing better.
ReplyDeleteHigh rates should stop from now on. Prices should continue to go down on almost all goods throughout the year. I wonder what happened that led to that excess in jobs?
Delete