The BoE’s Prudential Regulation Authority, which supervises the sector, put 16 life insurers through a stress test of
credit downgrades and increased longevity. In results published yesterday, it found them resilient, but said their assumptions ran the risk of overconfidence.Several companies relied on their ability to sell bonds that had been downgraded to junk, with £8bn to £9bn of such assets expected to be offloaded, the report found. Most assumed this could be done within six to 12 months of the event.
«It is important that, when firms plan for the management actions that they could take in stress, they allow for market liquidity and potential stress amplification arising from actions taken by other investors».
An example of institutional investors rushing for the exit was provided in the UK’s gilts market crisis last year, triggered by former prime minister Liz Truss’s ill-fated «mini» Budget, when pension funds struggled to offload government debt quickly enough to meet collateral calls and the BoE was forced to intervene.
For general insurers, including those within the Lloyd’s of London market, the regulator identified areas for improvement in how they quantify losses from so-called secondary perils — events such as floods that have historically been less costly, but are growing in frequency.
«Indeed, some entities reported that they have a specific governance approach to invoking this language and have considered potential costs that may be incurred,» said Gerken.
Participants highlighted efforts to create new policy language to address the challenges.
The Financial Times revealed last week that insurers were in discussions with the Treasury about whether Pool Re, the UK’s terrorism reinsurance scheme, could be expanded to back state-sponsored cyber attacks.
The insurers in the stress test were not named in yesterday’s letter, but the lifeinsurance units of groups including Aviva and L&G had been invited to participate last year.
These kinds of tests are very beneficial as they show the true capabilities of life insurers and can find problems that need addressing.
ReplyDeleteThis right here is worrying “their assumptions ran the risk of overconfidence” So many companies think this way, think that they can withstand anything and that’s not true. And this stops you from growing, from preparing for the worst case scenario.
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