Skip to main content

US bonds to its lowest level.

US bonds

US stocks and government bonds surged after consumer price inflation fell more than expected in November to its lowest level in almost a year, bolstering the Federal Reserve’s plans to slow the pace of interest rate rises.

The rate of increase in the consumer price index fell to 7.1 per cent last month, lower than the 7.3 per cent forecast by economists and down from 7.7 per cent in October. It was the lowest level since December 2021.
Overall CPI rose 0.1 per cent from the previous month, less than the 0.4 per cent increase in October.
«We could see setbacks along the way. But what is clear is my economic plan is working and we’re just getting started. My goal is simple: get price increases under control without choking off economic growth».
By late-morning trading, the S&P 500 was up 1.5 per cent and the Nasdaq Composite more than 2 per cent, as investors bet that the US central bank might not have to squeeze the economy as aggressively as feared to bring inflation under control. The yield on two-year US Treasury bonds, which is sensitive to changes in interest rate expectations, slid 0.22 percentage points to 4.18 per cent at one point, as the price increased. The Fed is set to raise its benchmark policy rate by half a percentage point today, breaking successive 0.75-point interest rate increases.
With the expected rise, the federal funds rate will move up to a new target range of 4.25 to 4.5 per cent, which most officials believe is still not high enough to bring inflation down to the Fed’s longstanding 2 per cent target.
«One number won’t be enough for the Fed, but it certainly is going to put in a better mood,» said Padhraic Garvey, regional head of research for the Americas at ING.

www.sba.tax 

Comments

  1. I also think the US central bank may not have to squeeze the economy as hard as it was feared. The US economy is strong and it might return to its former glory earlier (and stronger) than expected.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Cloud Bookkeeping

US FED rate rise.

  The US Federal Reserve officials have indicated that they plan to resume increasing interest rates to control inflation in the world's biggest economy. During the June meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee reached a consensus to keep interest rates stable for the time being to evaluate whether further tightening of policy would be necessary. However, the majority of the committee anticipates that additional rate increases will be required in the future. The minutes of the meeting have recently been made public. According to the minutes, most participants believed maintaining the federal funds rate at 5 to 5.25 per cent was appropriate or acceptable, despite some individuals wanting to raise the acceleration due to slow progress in cooling inflation. Although Fed forecasts predicted a mild recession starting later in the year, policymakers faced challenges in interpreting data that showed a tight job market and only slight improvements in inflation. Additionally, officials gr...

EU business slide.

  S&P Global’s flash eurozone composite purchasing managers’ index, a key gauge of business conditions for the manufacturing and services sector, fell 1 point to 47.1, figures showed yesterday. That is its lowest level since November 2020 and the fourth consecutive month below the crucial 50 mark separating growth from contraction. One of the few bright spots in the survey was that companies in all sectors reported a slight easing of cost pressures, price growth and supply chain constraints. However, prices charged for goods and services still rose at the sixth fastest rate since such data started in 2002. Jobs growth increased marginally from October but remained low compared with the past 18 months. Following a few months of falling price pressure in manufacturing and services, the October print shows an overall stabilisation said Jens Eisenschmidt, chief European economist at Morgan Stanley. However, German businesses, at the hub of Europe’s energy crisis, reported that manu...

India- UK trade deal.

  According to India's top trade official, talks with the UK regarding a trade agreement are progressing well, despite obstacles related to temporary work visas and the opening up industries like automotive and spirits. The Commerce and Industry Minister, Piyush Goyal, explained that India is seeking transition periods or greater market access in specific sectors due to its economy, which is slightly larger than the UK's and expected to outgrow it in the coming decades. If a trade deal is reached, it would be one of the most significant agreements for Britain since leaving the EU, and it would also be necessary for India, which surpassed the UK as the fifth-largest economy last year. Goyal stated that India aims to increase its economy from $3.5tn to $35tn by 2047, the country's centenary of independence. According to officials and diplomats in India, talks about a proposed trade deal may be finished by early September, just in time for the G20 summit in New Delhi. Nigel Hu...