Skip to main content

Indian stocks hit record high.

 

India’s stock market reached an all-time high this month as robust economic growth, financial reforms and a pro-business government have drawn greater interest from global fund managers.

The Nifty 50 is up 7 per cent this year compared with MSCI’s broad index tracking emerging market stocks in local currency, which is down 16 per cent.

The equity benchmark’s new peak at the start of this month comes as multinational companies increasingly turn to India as an alternative to China for international expansion and to gain access to a fast-expanding group of middle-income consumers.

Due to Beijing’s strict zero-Covid policy, supply chain disruptions in China have boosted India’s appeal to global businesses.

According to the consultancy Capital Economics, real GDP is forecast to increase by an average of 6 per cent a year, faster than any other major economy.

Meanwhile, the rapid adoption of smartphones in India, alongside a government-backed digital payments network, is accelerating the country’s shift towards a cashless society. The pandemic accelerated this trend.

The number of smartphone users in India will reach 732mn this year, more than double the 300mn registered in 2017, according to Newzoo, the data provider.

According to the internet and Mobile Association of India, active internet users are expected to rise from 692mn in 2021 to 900mn by 2025.

«The impact of smartphones on people’s lives is profound,» said Kevin Carter, a specialist emerging market investor who has designed an India internet and e-commerce ETF, known as INQQ, to tap into the country’s technology ecosystem.

«There is plenty of interesting innovation across India’s pharmaceutical industry where there is a huge pool of researchers working, but it is essential to find trustworthy partners,» said Glen Finegan, portfolio manager at Skerryvore Asset Management.

Trading on a 12-month forward price-earnings multiple of 21 times, India ranks as the second most highly valued equity market worldwide behind New Zealand, according to Société Générale.

The French bank expects India’s stock market to deliver earnings per share growth of 13.2 per cent this year, rising to 19.6 per cent in 2023.

However, high company valuations have prompted some position trimming, with net withdrawals by foreign institutional investors climbing to $17.9bn this year, compared with the inflows of $3.8bn registered over 2021, according to data from CLSA, the brokerage.

Comments

  1. China is making India stronger the longer they keep up this zero-Covid situation. India was already on an upward trajectory but the fact that China is stumbling right now will help it grow even faster.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. India is also taking advantage of cheaper oil from Russia which is and will make it even stronger.

      Delete

Post a Comment

Cloud Bookkeeping

US FED rate rise.

  The US Federal Reserve officials have indicated that they plan to resume increasing interest rates to control inflation in the world's biggest economy. During the June meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee reached a consensus to keep interest rates stable for the time being to evaluate whether further tightening of policy would be necessary. However, the majority of the committee anticipates that additional rate increases will be required in the future. The minutes of the meeting have recently been made public. According to the minutes, most participants believed maintaining the federal funds rate at 5 to 5.25 per cent was appropriate or acceptable, despite some individuals wanting to raise the acceleration due to slow progress in cooling inflation. Although Fed forecasts predicted a mild recession starting later in the year, policymakers faced challenges in interpreting data that showed a tight job market and only slight improvements in inflation. Additionally, officials gr...

EU business slide.

  S&P Global’s flash eurozone composite purchasing managers’ index, a key gauge of business conditions for the manufacturing and services sector, fell 1 point to 47.1, figures showed yesterday. That is its lowest level since November 2020 and the fourth consecutive month below the crucial 50 mark separating growth from contraction. One of the few bright spots in the survey was that companies in all sectors reported a slight easing of cost pressures, price growth and supply chain constraints. However, prices charged for goods and services still rose at the sixth fastest rate since such data started in 2002. Jobs growth increased marginally from October but remained low compared with the past 18 months. Following a few months of falling price pressure in manufacturing and services, the October print shows an overall stabilisation said Jens Eisenschmidt, chief European economist at Morgan Stanley. However, German businesses, at the hub of Europe’s energy crisis, reported that manu...

Tariffs on UK electric cars.

  The European Commission has confirmed that it will continue with its plan to impose tariffs on electric cars exported between the UK and EU starting next year. This is due to the "rules of origin" requirement that mandates EVs traded across the English Channel to have 60% of their battery and 45% of their parts sourced from the EU or UK or face a 10% tariff. A senior Commission official, Richard Szostak, recently informed parliamentarians from the UK and EU that the bloc's battery investment has significantly declined, making the tariffs necessary to encourage domestic production. In 2022, the EU's share of global investment in battery production shrank from 41% to only 2% after the US offered substantial subsidies through its Inflation Reduction Act. Starting in 2024, car manufacturers in the UK will need to have 22% of their sales come from zero-emission vehicles, which means they may need to import EVs from the continent to meet this requirement. If EU carmakers ...