Skip to main content

Inflation fell in Germany.

 Inflation in Germany and Spain fell in November, prompting a rally in eurozone government bonds as investors bet that price growth in the bloc had peaked and the European Central Bank would shift to smaller interest rate rises.A slowdown in energy and services prices helped inflation in Germany to fall in line with expectations to 11.3 per cent in the year to November, down from a 71-year peak of 11.6 per cent in October, according to data from the country’s federal statistical agency yesterday.Meanwhile, food prices rose in Germany at a faster pace of 21 per cent, and rental prices also accelerated slightly to 1.9 per cent.

Carsten Brzeski, head of macro research at ING Bank, said he was «still a bit cautious about calling this peak inflation», saying there were still significant price pressures for companies to pass on to consumers that could lead to another increase in inflation before February.

But he said eurozone inflation was likely to fall for the first time in 17 months when November price data are published today, making it less likely that the ECB will raise rates by 0.75 percentage points for the third consecutive time it meets in two weeks.

US inflation also fell in October, and global data indicators suggest that this year’s rampant global inflation has peaked.

«It’s looking likely that we’ve seen the peak,» commented Peter Schaffrik, chief European macro strategist at RBC, a bank, adding that even a slow decline in eurozone inflation should be sufficient to halt the sell-off that has swept through the region’s bond markets this year.

www.sba.tax

Labels:

Comments

  1. Jessie30 November 2022 at 18:34

    I also think this is not peak inflation in Germany. Just give it 3-4 more months. It's going to get worse before it gets better.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Cloud Bookkeeping

Google has launched its Bard chat­bot.

  Google has launched its Bard chat­bot in a move to rival OpenAI’s pop­u­lar Chat­GPT, as it seeks to make up lost ground in the race to com­mer­cial­ise gen­er­at­ive arti­fi­cial intel­li­gence tech­no­logy. Google said that Bard, which provides answers to text­based ques­tions, will be run sep­ar­ately from its Google Search engine. In recent weeks, gen­er­at­ive AI has also been integ­rated into widely used pro­ductiv­ity applic­a­tions, such as Google’s Work­space includ­ing Google Docs and Gmail, and Microsoft’s Office 365 soft­ware, as well as into pop­u­lar apps such as Duolingo, allow­ing mil­lions of people to start inter­act­ing with the tech­no­logy. «We want to get feed­back and gradu­ally phase up the num­ber of people who have access to Bard, and the reason for that is we want to be able to test and learn from that before we roll it out very widely,» said Zoubin Ghahramani, vice-pres­id­ent of Google Research. Bard is built on top of Google’s AI tech­no­logy known a...
3 comments
Read more

Inflation fell in Germany and Spain.

 Infla­tion fell rap­idly in two of Europe’s largest eco­nom­ies in March after a sharp drop in energy costs des­pite rises in the price of other goods and ser­vices. Ger­man con­sumer prices rose 7.8 per cent year-on-year on a har­mon­ised basis, down from the pre­vi­ous month’s rate of 9.3 per cent but higher than the 7.5 per cent fore­cast by eco­nom­ists polled by Reu­ters. The fig­ures came hours after Spain’s annual infla­tion rate almost halved to 3.1 per cent for March, from 6 per cent the pre­vi­ous month. Euro area gov­ern­ment bonds sold off after the coun­try’s infla­tion fig­ures were pub­lished. Yields on Ger­man two-year debt rose 0.13 per­cent­age points to 2.8 per cent as investors bet that bor­row­ing costs in the euro­zone would rise fur­ther. The ECB has raised interest rates swiftly in response to a surge in infla­tion over the past year, rais­ing its bench­mark deposit rate from minus 0.5 per cent the last sum­mer to 3 per cent. However, some mem­bers of the g...
Post a Comment
Read more

US producer price index.

 The pro­du­cer price index, which is often regarded as a lead­ing indic­ator of where con­sumer infla­tion is headed in sev­eral months, rose 0.7 per cent last month from Decem­ber, the US Bur­eau of Labor Stat­ist­ics said yes­ter­day, that sur­passed eco­nom­ists’ expect­a­tions for a 0.4 per cent increase. On an annual basis, the PPI, which tracks prices paid to US pro­du­cers for goods and ser­vices, was up 6 per cent from a year ago. That marked a mod­er­a­tion from 6.5 per cent in Decem­ber but came in well above mar­ket fore­casts for 5.4 per cent. Last month, a block­buster non-farm payrolls report showed the US eco­nomy added more than half a mil­lion jobs in Janu­ary, and the job­less rate fell to a 53year-low of 3.4 per cent. Fed chair Jay Pow­ell then warned rates might rise more than investors expect as the firm labour mar­ket could mean it takes longer for the Fed to hit its 2 per cent tar­get. The S&P 500 was down 0.6 per cent in morn­ing trad­ing, hav­ing man­a...
2 comments
Read more