Skip to main content

Factory-Gate inflation

  A survey has revealed that a record number of manufacturers are raising prices, with factory-gate inflation of up to 10 per cent becoming “built-in” to customers’ expectations. 

“While manufacturers will be able to enjoy some festive cheer this year, their spirits will be tempered by the eye-watering impact of escalating cost pressures,” James Brougham, senior economist at Make UK, said. 

A balance of 52 per cent of firms said they were increasing prices in the fourth quarter, up from 50 per cent in the third. However, customers have accepted the higher costs “without a response”, suggesting that inflation is “becoming built-in”. 

Price increases of 10 per cent have become a “regular occurrence”, it said.

To underline how “sharply inflation has bitten”, it said the balance of firms raising prices stood at just 4 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2019, before Britain left the European Union. 

Price increases of 10 per cent have become a “regular occurrence”, it said. 

Make UK said that the manufacturing sector continues to achieve growth but warned it had seen “some evidence of slowing activity”. 

Manufacturers are responding to intense inflationary pressures that show “little if any, a sign of abating”, it found. 

Despite the leap in inflation, the Bank is expected to keep interest rates at their historic low of 0.1 per cent as policymakers may need more time to assess the impact of the Omicron variant on public health and the economy. Although there is little sign that inflationary pressure will start to ease soon, their prospects remain relatively rosy as demand from large export markets “looks reasonably strong”, he added. 

According to the survey by the trade body Make UK, companies have increased their prices for a fourth-quarter in a row, and buyers must brace themselves for further rises in the first three months of next year. 

The current reading is the highest since 2000 when Make UK began monitoring inflation expectations. 

Summarised www.sba.tax


Comments

Cloud Bookkeeping

US FED rate rise.

  The US Federal Reserve officials have indicated that they plan to resume increasing interest rates to control inflation in the world's biggest economy. During the June meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee reached a consensus to keep interest rates stable for the time being to evaluate whether further tightening of policy would be necessary. However, the majority of the committee anticipates that additional rate increases will be required in the future. The minutes of the meeting have recently been made public. According to the minutes, most participants believed maintaining the federal funds rate at 5 to 5.25 per cent was appropriate or acceptable, despite some individuals wanting to raise the acceleration due to slow progress in cooling inflation. Although Fed forecasts predicted a mild recession starting later in the year, policymakers faced challenges in interpreting data that showed a tight job market and only slight improvements in inflation. Additionally, officials gr...

EU business slide.

  S&P Global’s flash eurozone composite purchasing managers’ index, a key gauge of business conditions for the manufacturing and services sector, fell 1 point to 47.1, figures showed yesterday. That is its lowest level since November 2020 and the fourth consecutive month below the crucial 50 mark separating growth from contraction. One of the few bright spots in the survey was that companies in all sectors reported a slight easing of cost pressures, price growth and supply chain constraints. However, prices charged for goods and services still rose at the sixth fastest rate since such data started in 2002. Jobs growth increased marginally from October but remained low compared with the past 18 months. Following a few months of falling price pressure in manufacturing and services, the October print shows an overall stabilisation said Jens Eisenschmidt, chief European economist at Morgan Stanley. However, German businesses, at the hub of Europe’s energy crisis, reported that manu...

EU debt reduction

  Brussels wants to give EU capitals extra time to curb their debts and create space for public investment as part of an overhaul of the EU’s deficit rules .  The European Commission would table a proposal at the end of the month to reform the Stability and Growth Pact ,  under which it would work out multi-year ,  country-specific plans with capitals for getting their debt burdens under control ,  EU officials said .  The proposals come as member states face mounting fiscal burdens as they spend hundreds of billions of euros sheltering businesses and households from the energy crisis .  Under the new blueprint ,  the commission would propose a four- or five-year plan to an EU member state to get its public debt burden on a credible ,  downward trajectory ,  officials said . The national fiscal plan would need to pass a debt sustainability analysis and be approved by the commission and EU council .  The new regime would ditch an EU ...